What Have the Invention of the Wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the Internet Got in Common? Why Are All Forecasters Con-Artists? What Can Catherine the Great's Lovers Tell Us About Probability? And, Why Should You Never Run for a Train or Read a Newspaper? This Book is All About Black Swans the Random Events That Underlie Our Lives, From Bestsellers to World Disasters. Their Impact is Huge; They're Impossible to Predict; yet After They Happen We Always Try to Rationalize Them. a Rallying Cry to Ignore the 'Experts', "The Black Swan" Shows Us How to Stop Trying to Predict Everything - and Take Advantage of Uncertainty.